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How Do You Solve a Problem Like Stagflation?

Real Vision Finance by Real Vision Finance
July 17, 2022
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Stocks are sliding and bonds are rallying, as investors react to accumulating evidence that inflation will persist even though the economy is slowing down. There’s a word for that kind of scenario: stagflation. “The Fed is facing one of the worst predicaments of its existence,” tweeted Tavi Costa. “The US economy simply cannot handle the Fed’s continued monetary tightening.” Costa, a partner and portfolio manager at Crescat Capital, joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about the confluence of three macro extremes. We also hear from Hari Krishnan about how there may not be a solution for the Federal Reserve’s dilemma. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: Watch the full conversation featuring Hari Krishnan and Ash Bennington here:

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How Do You Solve a Problem Like Stagflation?

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This is pretty obvious, but we should probably say it anyway so that there is absolutely no confusion…The material in REAL VISION GROUP video programs and publications {collectively referred to as “RV RELEASES”} is provided for informational purposes only and is NOT investment advice. The information in RV RELEASES has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Real Vision and its contributors, distributors and/or publisher, licensors, and their respective employees, contractors , agents, suppliers and vendors { collectively, “Affiliated Parties”} make no representation or warranty as to the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the content in RV RELEASES. Any data included in RV RELEASES are illustrative only and not for investment purposes. Any opinion or recommendation expressed in RV RELEASES is subject to change without notice. RV Releases do not recommend, explicitly nor implicitly, nor suggest or recommend any investment strategy. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties disclaim all liability for any loss that may arise (whether direct indirect, consequential, incidental, punitive or otherwise) from any use of the information in RV RELEASES. Real Vision Group and its Affiliated Parties do not have regard to any individual’s, group of individuals’ or entity’s specific investment objectives, financial situation or circumstance. RV RELEASES do not express any opinion on the future value of any security, currency or other investment instrument. You should seek expert financial and other advice regarding the appropriateness of the material discussed or recommended in RV RELEASES and should note that investment values may fall, you may receive less back than originally invested and past performances is not necessarily reflective of future performances. Well that was pretty intense! We hope you got all of that – now stop reading the small print and go and enjoy Real Vision.

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Comments 17

  1. Angel I's says:
    11 months ago

    Toby.. pronounced T(oa)by… his mother is off the sofa right now…

  2. Ian Hanlon says:
    11 months ago

    If housing doesn’t come down then this war on cost of living is not complete. Housing got too hot and that’s a massive issue when people look at their finances

  3. Cosmo the Wonder Dog says:
    11 months ago

    6:30

  4. David says:
    11 months ago

    not sure I learned any thing but I like this guy and more balanced, and correct, than tony as example

  5. Vickie says:
    11 months ago

    Who is this guy Toby 😂

  6. Cosmo the Wonder Dog says:
    11 months ago

    A deep dive into the real estate market outlook one of these days would be appreciated. 😁

  7. Pat Risberg says:
    11 months ago

    Spending less while as producing more is simple. It's called productivity. We don't need non-producers and services of shifting quality for the moment.

  8. Daniel 1 says:
    11 months ago

    Ash!!!

  9. Cryptolyst | Crypto-Analysen & mehr says:
    11 months ago

    Ash, what happened that now every third word is 'uhh'. It is super annoying. Please try to get rid of it. You are such an excellent host, don't let this little thing tarnish this.

  10. Gorilla Axe says:
    11 months ago

    Stagflation defined – Stagflation is characterized by slow economic growth and relatively HIGH unemployment—or economic stagnation—which is at the same time accompanied by rising prices (i.e., inflation). Stagflation can be alternatively defined as a period of inflation combined with a decline in the gross domestic product (GDP). The term was created in the 1970's. Do yourself a favor look up the value of the S&P500 on your birthday and now see where it closed today "the worst" start to a year for the first time since 1970. Then ask does any of this information really matter to my long term investment philosophy. Ask yourself how does this add value to my life.

  11. Ian Hanlon says:
    11 months ago

    The stimmy check ballers are getting their cars repossessed. These are leading indicators!!

  12. Jongbong Kim says:
    11 months ago

    Listen to Tavi…you, bubble vision. It's not too late for Roul to admit his garage macro views.

  13. XSAoRAD says:
    11 months ago

    Tavi was a great guest 👍

  14. stopandstare52 says:
    11 months ago

    Boring. Typical consensus analyst. Gold should do well in this environment blah blah blah.

  15. Zac Boyles says:
    11 months ago

    “Hold gold over treasury” that is rather apocalyptic no? I take his statement to mean his liquid assets would consist of at least 51% gold. Even Peter was saying the other day that gold has taken a hit with everything else historically so 25 year treasury bonds would be safest. Long, long-long, longest term, yes gold over any fiat would be the safest bet but at this very moment? Anyone else feel that way? Specifically I believe he is talking about USD which is what I’m talking about. IDK what our poor friends in the EU should do, last I heard some countries were giving out advice (and regulation) on gathering wood to heat themselves once energy runs out this winter… Ffs, why are so many leaders performative 🤡

  16. Chris Guenther says:
    11 months ago

    Tavi is awesome, I pay attention to what he has to say about macro environment and commodities/PM outlook. Thanks for having him on RealVision and Ash!

  17. James Lowe says:
    11 months ago

    He’s the first person I’ve heard mentioned what I’ve been saying why this environment is so unique. Most are trying to compare the environment to just the GFC, or just the dotcom, just the 70s, just the 40s, when in reality it is the culmination of ALL these time periods! Which makes this so difficult to pin down what’s going to happen. The one outlier on how all this ends from what I see is Great Depression 2.0…bc that’s the time period that isn’t being related to…yet

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