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US budget deficit balloons to $1.7 trillion — largest outside COVID era

INBV News by INBV News
October 21, 2023
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US budget deficit balloons to $1.7 trillion — largest outside COVID era
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The US government on Friday posted a $1.695 trillion budget deficit in fiscal 2023, a 23% jump from the prior 12 months as revenues fell and outlays for Social Security, Medicare and record-high interest costs on the federal debt rose.

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The Treasury Department said the deficit was the biggest since a COVID-fueled $2.78 trillion gap in 2021. It marks a serious return to ballooning deficits after back-to-back declines during President Biden’s first two years in office.

The deficit comes as Biden is asking Congress for $100 billion in latest foreign aid and security spending, including $60 billion for Ukraine and $14 billion for Israel, together with funding for US border security and the Indo-Pacific region.

The massive deficit, which exceeded all pre-COVID deficits, including those caused by Republican tax cuts passed under Donald Trump and from the financial crisis years, is prone to enflame Biden’s fiscal battles with Republicans within the House of Representatives, whose demands for spending cuts pushed the US to the brink of default in early June over the debt ceiling.

The deficit comes as President Biden is asking Congress for $100 billion in latest foreign aid and security spending, including $60 billion for Ukraine and $14 billion for Israel.Al Drago / Pool via CNP / SplashNews.com

A deal to avoid a government shutdown over deeper spending cut demands from Republican hardliners led to the ouster of House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, and the party remains to be divided over who should lead them, which is anticipated to make negotiations ahead of a latest fiscal deadline in mid-November tougher.

For September, the ultimate month of the fiscal 12 months, the deficit fell to $171 billion from $430 billion in September 2022.

“Falling revenues are a big contributor to the 2023 deficit, underscoring the importance of President Biden’s enacted and proposed policies to reform the tax system,” Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Office of Management and Budget Director Shalanda Young said in a joint statement.

The fiscal 2023 deficit would have been $321 billion larger, but was reduced by this amount since the Supreme Court struck down Biden’s student loan forgiveness program as unconstitutional. The ruling forced the Treasury to reverse a pre-emptive charge against fiscal 2022 budget results that increased that 12 months’s deficit.

“Falling revenues are a big contributor to the 2023 deficit, underscoring the importance of President Biden’s enacted and proposed policies to reform the tax system,” Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said.REUTERS

The fiscal 12 months 2022 deficit was $1.375 trillion.

Bearing in mind the 2 one-off adjustments, last fiscal 12 months’s deficit would have been closer to $1 trillion and this 12 months’s closer to $2 trillion, a Treasury official said.

Record interest costs

The 2023 deficit marks an abrupt end to 2 years of falling deficits for Biden as COVID-19 spending faded. The US deficit peaked in fiscal 2020 at $3.13 trillion because the sharpest downturn for the reason that Nineteen Thirties severely constrained tax revenues while spending on unemployment advantages, direct payments to consumers and aid to businesses peaked.

However the Congressional Budget Office has warned that based on current tax and spending laws, US deficits will approach COVID-era levels by the top of the last decade, reaching some $2.13 trillion in 2030 as interest, health and pension costs mount.

The budget deficit jumped 23% to $1.695 trillion from the prior 12 months. Getty Images

For the 2023 fiscal 12 months, total revenues fell $457 billion, or 9% from fiscal 2022, to $4.439 trillion, largely as a result of a drop in non-withheld individual income tax payments amid a worse performance in stocks and other financial assets as rates of interest rose.

Other revenue declines included a $106 billion drop in Federal Reserve earnings as interest paid on bank reserves ate up any portfolio income.

Fiscal 2023 outlays fell $137 billion, or 2% from the prior 12 months to $6.134 trillion. Outlays would have been more modest were it not for big increases in spending on retirement and healthcare advantages for the elderly and in debt service costs.

Biden speaks about his administration’s plans to guard Social Security and Medicare and lower healthcare costs in February.AP

Social Security spending rose 10% to $1.416 trillion as a result of cost of living adjustments for inflation, and spending for the Medicare senior healthcare program rose 4% to $1.022 trillion.

Interest costs on the greater than $33 trillion in federal debt also rose sharply, up 23% to $879 billion, a record. Net interest payments, excluding intragovernmental transfers to trust funds, rose 39% to $659 billion, also a record, in response to a Treasury official.

Gross interest payments amounted to three.28% as a share of gross domestic product, the very best since 2001, and the online share at 2.45% was the very best since 1998, the official said.

Rates of interest have soared during the last 12 months and a half because the Federal Reserve jacked up borrowing costs to slow inflation. The common interest cost on the Treasury’s outstanding debt was 2.97% last fiscal 12 months, up from 2.07% the 12 months before.

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