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Now that bitcoin ETFs are trading across U.S. public markets, many large money managers which have been effectively locked out of crypto finally have a technique to access the first digital currency.
For the $30 trillion advised wealth management industry, the floodgates could possibly be about to open. Analysts at Standard Chartered anticipate fund inflows within the range of $50 billion to $100 billion in 2024.
“Bitcoin is starting to turn into a benchmark asset for the younger generation,” said Anthony Pompliano, founding father of Pomp Investments. “We all know most investors cannot beat benchmarks, so adding the brand new benchmark to your asset allocation is the one technique to try to maintain up.”
Bitcoin rose as high as $49,000 on Thursday, reaching levels not seen since December 2021, before dropping Friday to around $43,000. It soared 150% last yr following a brutal selloff in 2022.
Wide swaths of the investment world missed out on the 2023 rally. In keeping with VanEck CEO Jan van Eck, many fiduciaries, financial advisors and banks had been explicitly told previously “not to the touch crypto,” due largely to its unregulated nature.
That modified on Wednesday after the Securities and Exchange Commission cleared the sales of spot bitcoin ETFs, allowing investors to access bitcoin the identical way they purchase stock and bond index funds. SEC Chair Gary Gensler continues to issue stern warnings on the subject of crypto investments, but that is not holding back activity.
For its Hundredfold Select Alternatives Fund, mutual fund manager Advisors Preferred Trust is investing as much as 15% of total assets for indirect bitcoin exposure through funds and futures contracts, in line with a recent prospectus.
Pompliano says “most passive funds are in search of ways to extend performance.”
Bitwise Asset Management is considered one of the 11 issuers that were granted initial approval for a bitcoin product. Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan said the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF, which is offering the bottom fee at 0.2% of holdings, is primarily targeting financial advisors and family offices.
“That features RIAs [registered investment advisors] and includes, eventually, wirehouses — that could be a many trillion dollar market,” said Hougan, adding that advisors are “increasingly carving out” an allocation of 1% to five%. “We all know that they are curious about crypto, and we all know that they have been waiting for an ETF.”
In a survey of economic advisors recently conducted along with VettaFi, a data-driven ETF platform, Bitwise found that 88% of advisors curious about purchasing bitcoin were waiting until after a spot bitcoin ETF was approved. Amongst advisors who already spend money on crypto, large allocations (greater than 3% of a portfolio) greater than doubled to 47% in 2023 from the prior yr.
“For the overwhelming majority of individuals, a low-cost bitcoin ETF goes to be the simplest technique to try this,” Hougan said.
In keeping with data from Robinhood, 81% of bitcoin ETF trading volume in the primary week was in individual accounts, with the remainder in retirement accounts.
Even before the SEC’s announcement Wednesday, the 2022 CFA Institute Investor Trust Study found that 94% of state and native pension plans had some crypto exposure. The brand new products potentially offer more legitimacy and lower costs for retirement plans that wish to increase allocation.
Financial firms are offering differing advice on how best to enter the space.
In a report on its website in October, Galaxy Digital said the “strongest marginal improvement” occurred when portfolios moved from a 0% to 1% bitcoin allocation. Way back to 2019, WisdomTree said that adding bitcoin to a portfolio that is traditionally 60% equities and 40% bonds “can improve the risk-return profile” and that from 2014 to 2019 “even a one percent allocation led to an 8.3% outperformance versus the bottom portfolio.”
Fidelity analyzed performance through mid-2022 and noted that “bitcoin boosted a portfolio’s returns during specific periods previously, though it also got here with substantial volatility.” To this point, the firm said, bitcoin has not held up well as a hedge against inflation, however it acknowledged that “assessing this was difficult, provided that inflation has been low throughout most of bitcoin’s history.”
Castle Island Ventures founder Matt Walsh, who previously led a variety of Fidelity Investments’ blockchain and cryptoasset initiatives, said the kinds of funds quickest to leap into the market are prone to be those with a deal with high-growth tech stocks. But he also sees broader appeal.
“I believe you possibly can also see it in commodity-based portfolios, like gold-based funds that see this as a form of digital gold,” said Walsh.
WATCH: SEC approves bitcoin ETFs