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Mortgage demand falls to lowest level since 1996

INBV News by INBV News
October 4, 2023
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Mortgage demand falls to lowest level since 1996
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A home is on the market in Arlington, Virginia, July 13, 2023.

Saul Loeb | AFP | Getty Images

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Mortgage rates just proceed to climb higher, taking a very big leap last week. Consequently, total mortgage demand fell 6% compared with the previous week, in keeping with the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index.

The typical contract rate of interest for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($726,200 or less) increased to 7.53% from 7.41%, with points rising to 0.80 from 0.71 (including the origination fee) for loans with a 20% down payment. That rate was 6.75% the identical week one yr ago.

“Mortgage rates continued to maneuver higher last week as markets digested the recent upswing in Treasury yields,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s vp and deputy chief economist. “Consequently, mortgage applications ground to a halt, dropping to the bottom level since 1996.”

Applications to refinance a house loan dropped 7% for the week and were 11% lower than the identical week one yr ago. Refinances now make up lower than one-third of all mortgage applications. Just two years ago, when rates were setting multiple record lows, refinance demand made up roughly three-quarters of all mortgage applications.

Applications for a mortgage to buy a house fell 6% for the week and were 22% lower than the identical week one yr ago.

“The acquisition market slowed to the bottom level of activity since 1995, because the rapid rise in rates pushed an increasing variety of potential homebuyers out of the market,” said Kan, who also noted that adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) applications increased. The ARMs made up 8% of purchase applications, up from 6.7% a few month ago, when rates of interest were barely lower. ARM’s offer lower rates but are fixed for a shorter term, often five or 10 years.

A separate, day by day survey on mortgage rates from Mortgage News Each day showed the typical rate on the 30-year fixed rising even higher this week, hitting 7.72% on Tuesday. Investors are responding to better-than-expected economic data, which could push the Federal Reserve to be more aggressive in its higher rate of interest policy.

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