Midterms normally don’t favor the incumbent party
Fog hangs within the air across the U.S. Capitol constructing on November 4, 2022 in Washington, DC.
Samuel Corum | Getty Images
Though President Joe Biden has asked voters to consider the upcoming election as a “alternative” reasonably than a “referendum,” midterms historically have been a referendum on the party in power.
That is not an incredible sign for Democrats who control the presidency and each chambers of Congress. Former President George W. Bush was the exception to the trend. Political analysts attribute the GOP gain within the House to the rallying effect post 9/11 attacks.
Here’s how recent presidents’ parties have fared within the U.S. House within the midterm races held during their first terms:
- Bill Clinton: Democrats lost 54 seats
- Bush: Republicans gained 8 seats
- Barack Obama: Democrats lost 63 seats
- Donald Trump: Republicans lost 41 seats
— Emma Kinery
Biden’s approval rating at 44%, voters barely prefer Democrats to manage Congress in NBC poll
US President Joe Biden speaks in regards to the economy at ViaSat, an US technology company, in Carlsbad, California, on November 4, 2022
Saul Loeb | AFP | Getty Images
Biden’s approval rating stands at 44% going into Election Day, in keeping with a poll released Sunday by NBC News.
It puts him in similar standing as former Presidents Donald Trump (46%) and Barack Obama (45%) in the ultimate NBC News/WSJ poll taken before the midterm elections.
The poll, which has a margin of error of three.5 percentage points amongst likely voters, found 48% preferred Democrats to manage Congress and 47% preferred Republicans. It is a reverse from October when 48% of likely voters preferred Republicans and 47% preferred Democrats within the NBC News poll. Each are inside the margin of error.
— Emma Kinery
Polls open for voters within the Midwest, Mountain regions of the country
A voter drops his ballot right into a drop box on the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Center on November 07, 2022 in Phoenix, Arizona.
Justin Sullivan | Getty Images
Voters in the midst of the country began heading to the polls at 7 a.m. ET in Missouri and lined up for voting starting at 8 a.m. ET in Arizona, each 6 a.m. local times.
The races between Democratic senatorial candidate Trudy Busch Valentine and Republican rival Eric Schmitt in Missouri and incumbent Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly and Republican senatorial candidate Blake Masters in Arizona are big ones to observe in these states.
Polls also open at 8 a.m. ET in Wisconsin (7 a.m. local time) where Republican incumbent Sen. Ron Johnson is running against Democratic candidate and Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes.
Voters make a choice from Republican incumbent Mike Lee or Independent Evan McMullin for U.S. Senate in Utah, starting at 9 a.m. ET (7 a.m. local time).
— Chelsey Cox
Trump suggests he’ll announce presidential run Nov. 15
Former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a rally on the Dayton International Airport on November 7, 2022 in Vandalia, Ohio.
Drew Angerer | Getty Images
Former President Donald Trump said Monday night he’ll make a “big announcement” on Nov. 15 at his Mar-a-Lago resort, where he’s widely expected to launch his 2024 presidential campaign.
“I will be making a really big announcement on Tuesday, Nov. 15 at Mar-a-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida,” Trump said at a Save America rally in Vandalia, Ohio on the eve of the midterm elections.
Trump is desirous to jumpstart his third run for president, and staffing conversations have ramped up significantly in recent weeks. An early list of potential top aides has already trickled out.
Trump’s line about Nov. 15 got here near the tip of a greater than 90 minute speech for GOP candidate J.D. Vance in Ohio. As an alternative of specializing in Vance, the previous president railed against Democrats, judges who’ve ruled unfavorably in cases against his family, run down U.S. airports and above all, President Joe Biden.
A Trump spokesman didn’t reply to a request from CNBC to substantiate that his Nov. 15 event might be a campaign launch.
As Trump inches closer to formally kicking off the 2024 presidential race, polls show he enjoys unparalleled support amongst Republican voters.
Trump would also enter the race with greater than $60 million in money held by his leadership PAC, Save America, and a prodigious small dollar fundraising operation that vacuums up online donations from the Republican base.
— Christina Wilkie
Polls open for voters along the East coast
A person arrives to solid his ballot during early voting for the midterm elections on the Smyrna Community Center in Smyrna, Georgia, November 4, 2022.
Carlos Barria | Reuters
Voters can head to the polls as soon as 6 a.m. ET in Virginia and as early as 6 a.m. ET in Latest Hampshire, with North Carolina and Ohio following close behind at 6:30 a.m. ET.
Polling places open at 7 a.m. ET for voters in Florida, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Michigan.
Big races to observe in these states are the showdown between incumbent Republican Sen. Marco Rubio and Democratic Rep. Val Demings in Florida for U.S. Senate. Democratic incumbent Sen. Raphael Warnock can also be running against controversial Republican first-timer Herschel Walker in Georgia, and incumbent Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer takes on Republican Tudor Dixon for governor of Michigan.
— Chelsey Cox