Confession: We’re fantasy romantics. We love when the celebrities align, once we lock eyes with the love of our season (or week) from across the roster. We sometimes imagine in fate and destiny and all that sappy stuff.
So, after spending the season to this point shouting that Jets running back Breece Hall was not trustworthy, we’re ready for a change of heart.
In the event you used him, he has been a heartbreaker early. He teased you Week 1 with an extended run to pad his stats. In three games since, he has averaged just 4.8 in PPR. That’s a foul date.
Yet, we had a moment this week, the Madman and Hall’s rest-of-season outlook.
And now we’re knocking at Breece’s fantasy door proclaiming, “I used to be just nowhere near your neighborhood.”
In the event you recall, we anticipated Dalvin Cook playing a big role early within the season.
But Cook looks cooked. And now Breece’s carry curfew is being lifted.
Coach Robert Saleh said this week Hall isn’t any longer on a pitch count, after the team used caution in his return from an ACL injury.
Outside of a blowout loss to the Cowboys, when the Jets had just 16 total rush attempts, Hall has 9, 13 and 11 touches. So the plan headed into Sunday shall be for him to get greater than that.
If he gets roughly half of Cook’s roughly equal touches, meaning we could expect Hall to get close to twenty touches this week.
Up to now, Hall has averaged .082 points per touch in PPR formats. Nevertheless, in his rookie season, he averaged 1.2 in seven games.
So, if he only gets, say, 18 touches, and only scores his profession average across 11 games (1.01), that is eighteen.2 in PPR. Those are the type of numbers that make us say of him emerging because the lead: “We wanted it to be you.”
But this week isn’t just any old date. Breece is taking us to a Broncos game.
The identical Broncos who’re giving up 23.3 points above the league average each week to fantasy RBs.
Meaning the Broncos are greater than twice as bad because the league average.
So if we adjust our numbers accordingly, that’s nearly a 40-point projection!? That’s absurd, right?
Well, yeah. The Denver numbers are skewed by the Week 3 outlier in Miami, when the Broncos gave up the highest two RB weeks (De’Von Achane and Raheem Mostert) — in the identical game.
That was one week after giving up the much smaller yet still biggest Week 2 RB game to Washington’s Brian Robinson Jr.
Betting on the NFL?
But we don’t need a 40-point, Hollywood fantasy hottie. We are only superb with a beautiful fantasy RB round the corner who still puts up well over 20 in PPR. That type of day would have us at “Hello.”
The celebs are aligning. It was meant to be. Breece, you complete us. And after this week, we’re gonna wish we knew easy methods to quit you.
Big weeks
Zach Wilson QB, Jets, at Broncos (FanDuel $6,700/DraftKings $4,900)
We spent plenty of time telling you why it’s best to play Breece Hall against the Broncos, whose run defense is the league’s most generous. Well, Denver can be last vs. opposing quarterbacks. Wilson looked good last week, and everybody looks good vs. Denver.
Matthew Stafford QB, Rams, vs. Eagles (FD $6,800/DK $5,600)
Cooper Kupp is predicted back, and Philly has struggled against opposing fantasy QBs — rating twenty seventh to this point this season.
Jonathan Taylor RB, Colts, vs. Titans (FD $7,400/DK $6,800)
The Madman often is cautious in these scenarios, and can sit returning players who’re iffy leading into the sport. But when Taylor plays, use him. He plays too huge a job within the offense to disregard, even in a foul matchup.
Zay Flowers WR, Ravens, at Steelers (FD $5,900/DK $5,500)
The Pittsburgh defense has been invisible. Flowers has gotten ample looks, and he’s due a TD or two.
Small weaks
Dak Prescott QB, Cowboys, at 49ers (FD $6,700/DK $6,100)
He’s averaging fewer than 15 fantasy points per game. Niners almost fell right into a trap last week, but expect their shutdown best in prime time.
Isiah Pacheco RB, Chiefs, at Vikings (FD $6,600/DK $5,700)
Had an enormous game last week, off game the week before. But enhance your calm. He has averaged 13.1 in PPR since Week 11 last season. He’s superb. Not great, just superb.
Jaleel McLaughlin RB, Broncos, vs. Jets (FD $5,700/DK $5,000)
We predict the Jets fantasy RB defense will prove higher than its current twenty second rank. The bad Denver D will help, for the reason that Jets offense should have the ability to remain on the sphere longer.
Tyler Boyd WR, Bengals, at Cardinals (FD $6,200/DK $4,500)
If Tee Higgins (rib) is out or limited, many will turn to Boyd. Allow us to remind you: The Bengals have scored three offensive TDs — total — in 4 games.
Every day Duel
Drew Loftis and Jarad Wilk submit dueling rosters right into a DFS contest:
Site: FanDuel
Slate: Sun. essential (10 games)
Type: $5 tourney
Top prize: $300K
Pot: $1.5M
Drew’s Crew
QB: Matthew Stafford — LAR (vs. Phi) $6,800
RB: David Montgomery — Det (vs. Automobile) $8,500
RB: Breece Hall — NYJ (at Den) $6,500
WR: Puka Nacua — LAR (at Phi) $8,000
WR: Tyreek Hill — Mia (vs. NYG) $9,400
WR: Zay Flowers — Bal (at Pit) $5,900
TE: Zach Ertz — Ari (vs. Cin) $5,100
Flex: Dameon Pierce — Hou (at Atl) $6,200
DEF: Texans — Hou (at Atl) $3,600
Wilk’s Warriors
QB: Zach Wilson — NYJ (at Den) $6,700
RB: De’Von Achane — Mia (vs. NYG) $7,500
RB: Bijan Robinson — Atl (vs. Hou) $8,200
WR: Rashee Rice — KC (at Min) $5,000
WR: Zay Flowers — Bal (at Pit) $5,900
WR: Tyreek Hill — Mia (vs. NYG) $9,400
TE: Zach Ertz — Ari (vs. Cin) $5,100
Flex: David Montgomery — Det (vs. Automobile) $8,500
DEF: Cardinals — Ari (vs. Cin) $3,700
Season risked: $37
Season’s winnings: Drew $29, Jarad $9