Lisa intensified right into a Category 1 hurricane with sustained winds around 85 mph before making landfall Wednesday near Belize City.
Life-threatening storm surge, damaging winds and flash flooding will all be significant threats as Lisa moves inland across Belize, northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico over the subsequent couple of days.
Lisa is the primary hurricane to landfall in Belize throughout the month of November since 1942.
Where is Tropical Cyclone Lisa?
As of late Wednesday, Lisa was centered near Belize and was slowly making its way westward.
Resulting from the terrain and land interaction, Lisa continues to slowly degrade and is not any longer a robust Category 1 hurricane.
What’s the forecast for Lisa?
The FOX Forecast Center expects that Lisa will proceed to weaken because it tracks westward across Central America. This path means it should cross northern Guatemala and move into southeastern Mexico by Thursday.
Hurricane Lisa is not going to pose any threat to the U.S. Gulf Coast despite the fact that the track takes a weakened tropical depression into the nice and cozy Bay of Campeche for the weekend. A chilly front sweeping into the Gulf of Mexico will keep Lisa suppressed to the south until it falls apart by early Monday.
“Expect it to weaken some over land – in fact, we’re going to be coping with the impacts of that friction, and it’s going to be raining itself out – but potentially emerging back into the southern Bay of Campeche,” FOX Weather meteorologist Jane Minar said. “We’ll have to look at it closely, but immediately, the dynamics over the U.S. mean no concerns are expected. It’s not raising any red flags there.”
What are the expected impacts from Lisa?
In accordance with the FOX Forecast Center, Lisa is anticipated to provide 4 to six inches of rain across parts of Belize and northern Guatemala, in addition to portions of the Mexican states of Quintana Roo, Campeche, Tabasco, Chiapas and Veracruz. Localized areas could see as much as 10 inches of rainfall.
The far southeastern portion of Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula, the Bay Islands of Honduras, central Guatemala and south-central Campeche state in Mexico could see 2 to 4 inches of rain, with isolated amounts as high as 6 inches.
The heavy rainfall could lead on to flash flooding in these areas along the trail ofLisa, particularly across Belize and into northern Guatemala, the far southeastern portion of the Yucatán Peninsula and portions of the Mexican states of Campeche, Tabasco, Chiapas and Veracruz.
As well as, a life-threatening storm surge will likely raise water levels by as much as 4 to 7 feet above normal tide levels near and to the north of where the middle of Hurricane Lisa crosses the coast of Belize and in extreme southeastern portions of the Yucatán Peninsula.
Elsewhere, a storm surge of two to 4 feet is feasible inside the Tropical Storm Warning area along the eastern Yucatán Peninsula, with 1 to three feet possible for the Bay Islands of Honduras.
2022 Atlantic hurricane season running near average
Lisa is the twelfth named storm and the sixth hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. Martin became the season’s thirteenth storm on Tuesday within the central North Atlantic and later became the seventh hurricane on Wednesday.
This is simply the third time on record that there have been two November hurricanes concurrently within the Atlantic. The previous years were 1932 and 2001.
A mean season within the Atlantic features 14 named storms and 7 hurricanes, so the season is running very near average as of early November.
The Atlantic hurricane season doesn’t officially end until Nov. 30, which suggests there’s still a while for an extra storm to develop. Actually, an area within the southwestern Atlantic Ocean is currently being monitored for possible tropical development over the subsequent several days.