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Louisville vs. NC State pick
The Cardinals run the ball on the Sixteenth-highest rate within the country, and the way could you not feed Jawhar Jordan? He’s averaging a staggering 9.6 yards per carry while also finding paydirt six times in 4 games.
Jordan and the Cardinals should proceed to seek out success on the bottom on this matchup. The large boys up front may have the sting in Line Yards, and the Wolfpack haven’t been all that great against the run, rating 82nd in yards per carry allowed.
Nevertheless, NC State can’t just load the box since the run game has done a terrific job of organising the Louisville passing game this season. Jack Plummer is third within the country in yards per pass, averaging over 11 yards per completion.
The Wolfpack are 81st in coverage rating and rank 97th in yards per pass allowed, so the Cardinals are in line for offensive success, regardless of what scheme they deploy on this matchup.
If you take a look at the NC State offense, you’ve to key in on Armstrong. I highlighted the connection he has together with his offensive coordinator, but we haven’t seen a renaissance from Armstrong to date.
He’s 118th in completion percentage and one hundred and tenth in yards per pass. While he’ll have a solid matchup in front of him against the Louisville secondary, it stays to be seen if he can capitalize.
The largest issue is NC State’s offensive line. The unit is forty fifth in pass blocking and 69th in run blocking, per PFF. This has caused Armstrong to scramble on many dropbacks, and it has led to the Wolfpack averaging just 3.9 yards per carry on the bottom.
While the Cardinals’ defensive position hasn’t generated much pressure on the quarterback, it’ll have the Line Yards advantage, so NC State needs Armstrong to get going if it desires to loaf around on this one.
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