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Home Health

UnitedHealth is value buying and might rally nearly 25%, Bernstein says

INBV News by INBV News
July 19, 2023
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UnitedHealth is value buying and might rally nearly 25%, Bernstein says
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UnitedHealth is value buying because it still trades at an inexpensive valuation coming out of a very good earnings report, in accordance with Bernstein. Analyst Lance Wilkes upgraded the medical health insurance stock to outperform from market perform and raised his price goal by $8 to $603. His latest goal implies shares could rise 24.6% over the following yr from Monday’s close. “We consider UNH is a best-in-class MCO and VBC company, and current valuation offers a singular opportunity to purchase a bit of a business with a big runway of growth in front of it at very attractive valuation,” he said in a note to clients Tuesday. Wilkes’ move marks a reversal from last yr’s downgrade, which was tied to concerns around valuation being too high, utilization in 2023 and rate pressures. Now, he said those concerns are priced into the stock and valuation has fallen — from around 1.3 times earnings to 0.9 times earnings — to a level that undervalues the long-term growth opportunity. UnitedHealth on Friday beat Wall Street expectations on each lines for the second quarter . The corporate also said it was increasing the low end of its guided range for where full-year adjusted earnings should are available. “Overall, it was a solid print,” he said. “We consider expectations were negative regarding rising medical costs and UNH in line print on MLR, their comments on stable costs, and raising of the guide led to the stock closing 7% up on Friday.” Despite the post-earnings rally, the Dow Jones Industrial Average member remains to be down nearly 9% in 2023 despite the broader market’s rise. Shares rose 0.6% before the bell Tuesday. Looking ahead, Wilkes said UnitedHealth has the potential to see price hardening in 2024 and “attractive” long-term growth through its value-based health care and government managed care, in addition to from innovation business Optum. The low relative valuation also tells Wilkes that it’s a very good time to purchase in. UnitedHealth trades at a 0.9 multiple relative to the S & P 500, near the Medicare for All lows of 0.85. That is also far off the 2022 high of 1.4, which he called “stretched.” UNH YTD mountain UnitedHealth’s drop in 2023 — CNBC’s Michael Bloom contributed to this report.

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