There are many terrific betting opportunities across the European soccer schedule this week. Let’s take a take a look at just a few strong prices and see if we will construct a lottery-ticket parlay to make this a weekend to recollect (odds via BetMGM).
Everton (+145) vs. Aston Villa
Sean Dyche’s appointment as manager of Everton Football Club appears to be paying dividends already. The Blues have won two of Dyche’s first three matches and held their opponents, league-leading Arsenal and Leeds United, to only 1.29 expected goals. Neither Leeds nor Arsenal scored a goal on Everton. Aston Villa, meanwhile, has been a defensive mess of late. The Villans have lost three games on the spin and have conceded 11 goals on nine expected goals in that span. No team has surrendered more expected goals than Aston Villa because the World Cup.
Everton continues to be in a relegation scrap and needs to be buoyed by a raucous home environment. Back the Toffees at home on Saturday morning.
Newcastle United (+250) vs. Manchester United
It has been nearly 70 years since Newcastle United has won a significant trophy. The Magpies may have the possibility to finish that drought, which matches back to 1955, on Sunday within the EFL Cup Final. And regardless that Newcastle is an underdog against red-hot Manchester United, these teams boast remarkably similar statistical profiles this season.
So why is Newcastle sitting as a transparent underdog?
It appears to be a market overreaction to the indisputable fact that the Magpies will probably be forced to play No. 3 goalkeeper Loris Karius after Nick Pope was shown a red card in Newcastle’s loss to Liverpool last weekend. While not ideal, the jump from Pope to Karius isn’t drastic enough to warrant this much of a spot between two teams that, by every other number, look to be peers this season.
That is an ideal number on Newcastle.
Union Berlin (+775) vs. Bayern Munich
Let’s finish this off with a wild price on the underdog in an enormous match within the Bundesliga.
Bayern Munich has spent the last decade coasting to titles in Germany’s top division, but that run appears to be in serious jeopardy without delay. Bayern is tied with Borussia Dortmund and Union Berlin on 43 points and there are three other teams inside three points of the Bavarians.
Despite that, Bayern continues to be a monster favorite against Union Berlin on Sunday morning. It shouldn’t be a surprise that the 10-time defending champions are the chalk, but this number seems a bit lofty.
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Not only is Union Berlin tied with Bayern atop the table, however the Iron Ones are the most effective defensive team within the Bundesliga, which is the highest-scoring league in Europe’s big five divisions. Bayern’s attack is elite and can provide the strongest defenses plenty to take into consideration, but additionally it is vulnerable in transition and aren’t a sure thing to maintain things tidy in their very own end, which should open up a path to achievement for the underdog here.
All three of Everton, Newcastle and Union Berlin are good bets on their very own, but when you’re feeling frisky a three-leg moneyline parlay would pay out 74/1. Price some lunch money.
