A supercomputer has made its Super Bowl predictions, and it’s not looking good for Travis Kelce, Taylor Swift and the Chiefs.
Opta Analyst’s projection model is giving the Bills a league-high 13.4 percent probability of winning Super Bowl 2026, with Kansas City having the second-best odds at 9.6 percent.
The Eagles and Jaguars have the fourth-best projections, with 8.7 and eight.1 percent odds to win the title, respectively.
The projection model looks at each team’s quarterback and efficiency vs. expected performance by way of yardage in passing situations.
Then, it analyzes each regular-season matchup and provides every team an expected win percentage.
The Bills, as an example, have a projected 11.1 wins and 5.8 losses, while the Saints are predicted to be the NFL’s worst team with an expected 5.4 wins and 11.5 losses.
Because Opta’s model includes ties in its regular-season simulation, projections sometimes don’t add up exactly to 17 games.
The projection model is somewhat consistent with Super Bowl champion betting odds ahead of the preseason, albeit with just a few major discrepancies.
FanDuel Sportsbook has the Ravens (+650) with one of the best odds of winning the title, although Opta’s model has Baltimore with the sixth-best odds.
And although the model likes the Jaguars to be the most effective teams within the AFC, FanDuel has Jacksonville as an enormous long shot to win the Super Bowl with 70/1 odds.
However the Bills are usually not an outlandish pick to win the title – FanDuel has the Bills with the second-best Super Bowl odds (+700), followed by the Eagles (+750) and Chiefs (+850).
Opta, owned by sports AI company Stats Perform, also has projections for nearly every other major sports league, including MLB, the NBA and the Premier League.
Its preseason projections last 12 months had the 49ers because the overwhelming favorites last 12 months and Kansas City with the third-best odds, while the eventual champion Eagles didn’t even crack the highest five.
A supercomputer has made its Super Bowl predictions, and it’s not looking good for Travis Kelce, Taylor Swift and the Chiefs.
Opta Analyst’s projection model is giving the Bills a league-high 13.4 percent probability of winning Super Bowl 2026, with Kansas City having the second-best odds at 9.6 percent.
The Eagles and Jaguars have the fourth-best projections, with 8.7 and eight.1 percent odds to win the title, respectively.
The projection model looks at each team’s quarterback and efficiency vs. expected performance by way of yardage in passing situations.
Then, it analyzes each regular-season matchup and provides every team an expected win percentage.
The Bills, as an example, have a projected 11.1 wins and 5.8 losses, while the Saints are predicted to be the NFL’s worst team with an expected 5.4 wins and 11.5 losses.
Because Opta’s model includes ties in its regular-season simulation, projections sometimes don’t add up exactly to 17 games.
The projection model is somewhat consistent with Super Bowl champion betting odds ahead of the preseason, albeit with just a few major discrepancies.
FanDuel Sportsbook has the Ravens (+650) with one of the best odds of winning the title, although Opta’s model has Baltimore with the sixth-best odds.
And although the model likes the Jaguars to be the most effective teams within the AFC, FanDuel has Jacksonville as an enormous long shot to win the Super Bowl with 70/1 odds.
However the Bills are usually not an outlandish pick to win the title – FanDuel has the Bills with the second-best Super Bowl odds (+700), followed by the Eagles (+750) and Chiefs (+850).
Opta, owned by sports AI company Stats Perform, also has projections for nearly every other major sports league, including MLB, the NBA and the Premier League.
Its preseason projections last 12 months had the 49ers because the overwhelming favorites last 12 months and Kansas City with the third-best odds, while the eventual champion Eagles didn’t even crack the highest five.
