Tennis fans are in for a treat on Sunday morning when Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner meet within the finals of the Rome Masters.
That is the eleventh time that Alcaraz and Sinner have met of their profession (though it’s the primary time they’ve played in a Masters 1000 Final), with the Spaniard holding a 6-4 advantage within the series.Â
Sinner, playing in his first tournament since serving a three-month suspension for a banned substance, is a -146 favorite to win the match.
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Alcaraz vs. Sinner betting previewÂ
It’s been one other masterful clay season for Alcaraz.Â
The World No. 3 has gone 14-1 and has made it to the finals in all three tournaments he’s played on the dirt. Alcaraz defeated Lorenzo Mussetti in the ultimate of the Monte Carlo Masters, but lost to Holger Rune within the showpiece at ATP Barcelona.
Alcaraz has dropped just six sets in 15 matches on clay in 2025, and only one to this point in Rome.
Sinner has yet to lose a match in 2025, but he’s also been on the sidelines since winning the Australian Open back in January. The Italian has been superb in Rome, dropping only one set through his first five matches.
Alcaraz vs. Sinner pick
It’s demanding picking a winner for this match.
Alcaraz has been incredible on the clay after a middling (by his standards) begin to the season on hard courts.
Sinner, meanwhile, looks like he hasn’t missed a beat despite being out of motion for 3 months.Â
This looks like a coin flip, however the oddsmakers usually are not pricing it that way.
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They’ve installed the Italian as the favourite, which fits against Tennis Abstract’s model, which has Alcaraz because the decided favorite.
Sinner’s absence could also be skewing the model’s projection, however it’s not crazy to make Alcaraz the slight favorite given how well he’s played on the dirt and what number of top opponents he’s beaten in his last three tournaments.
The play: Alcaraz +122 (Fanatics Sportsbook)
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience within the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to assist punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn the right way to beat the market in mainstream and area of interest sports.
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