The bookmakers imagine the 2025 Men’s French Open at Roland Garros is easy.
Two players can win this tournament: Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner.
Alcaraz is an even-money favorite to win La Coupe des Mousquetaires for the second yr in a row, while Sinner is just behind him at +210 odds.
The 2 superstars are on opposite sides of the draw, meaning they’d face each other in the ultimate on Sunday, June 8, in the event that they don’t lose beforehand.
Novak Djokovic, a three-time winner at Roland Garros, is the third favorite at 11/1 odds, just ahead of Alexander Zverev (15/1), Lorenzo Mussetti (20/1) and Casper Ruud (22/1).
Zverev finished second at Roland Garros in 2024, while Ruud lost within the finals in 2022 and 2023.
Men’s tennis is notoriously chalky at Grand Slams, but Roland Garros takes things to a different level. The last true surprise winner here was Stan Wawrinka in 2014, but he was considered to be one of the best player outside of Djokovic, Rafa Nadal, and Roger Federer on the time, so it wasn’t a real shocker despite the fact that he was 25/1 before Round 1.
For an actual stunner, you’d must return 21 years to Gaston Gaudio’s dramatic win as a 50/1 outsider in 2004.
It could look like a futile endeavor to choose a few sleepers on this field, but betting must be fun, right?
2025 French Open long shots
Daniil Medvedev (80/1, bet365)
It’s been a trying season for Daniil Medvedev, but he has shown some signs that he’s starting to round into form. He didn’t make any deep runs throughout the European clay-court season, but he went a game 7-3 within the last three tournaments, all of which were Masters events.
At the height of his powers, Medvedev is certainly one of the hardest opponents on the planet, especially in best-of-5 tennis. His defensive game is off the charts, and his tennis IQ makes him nearly not possible to gameplan against.
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The Russian has never made it beyond the quarterfinals at Roland Garros, but he’ll be buoyant after getting a soft draw that sees him land in Alexander Zverev’s quarter.
If he’s back to being fully fit, Medvedev has a probability to make a deep run at an enormous price in Paris.
Joao Fonseca (95/1, FanDuel)
I’m going to bite.
Fonseca became the talk of the tennis world at first stages of 2025. The teenager from Brazil won his maiden ATP title in front of a raucous crowd in Rio de Janeiro in February and, immediately, there was discuss his probabilities of being an upstart at Roland Garros.
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The hype cooled considerably as Fonseca’s form dipped through March and April, but at this price, I’m completely satisfied to leap in and back this massive talent.
Fonseca’s draw definitely isn’t pretty, but his opponents within the early rounds are greater than gettable, and he has the sport to punch up against the likes of Jack Draper or Alex de Minaur. From there, you’ll hope to get lucky and see Sinner get upset before a possible showdown within the quarters.
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience within the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to assist punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn the way to beat the market in mainstream and area of interest sports.
