Because the war in Ukraine enters its second 12 months, CIA Director William Burns said Sunday that Russian President Vladimir Putin is being “too confident” in his military’s ability to grind Ukraine into submission.
Burns, in a television interview, said the pinnacle of Russia’s intelligence services had displayed of their November meeting “a way of cockiness and hubris” that reflected Putin’s own beliefs “that he could make time work for him, that he believes he can grind down the Ukrainians that he can wear down our European allies, that political fatigue will eventually set in.”
That conversation, wherein Burns warned of the results if Russia were to deploy a nuclear weapon in Ukraine, was “pretty dispiriting,” Burns said.
Burns said he judged Putin as “quite determined” to proceed prosecuting the war, despite the casualties, tactical shortcomings and economic and reputational damage to Russia.
“I believe Putin is, immediately, entirely too confident of his ability … to wear down Ukraine,” Burns told CBS’ “Face the Nation” in an interview that aired Sunday. Burns said that “in some unspecified time in the future, he will need to withstand increasing costs as well, in coffins coming home to a number of the poorest parts of Russia,” where he said most of the conscripts “being thrown as cannon fodder” are from.
Burns also said Putin was underestimating U.S. resolve to support Ukraine, saying that it has been his experience that the Russian leader’s view is that Americans have “attention deficit disorder and we’ll move on to another issue eventually.”
The comments got here at a critical juncture for the war because the Biden administration is “confident that the Chinese leadership is considering” whether to offer “lethal” military equipment to Russia.
“It might be a really dangerous and unwise bet,” Burns said, adding that such a move could only further strain relations between the world’s two largest economics. “That is why I hope very much that they do not.”
Burns said China’s leader, Xi Jinping, has closely watched how the war has evolved, and “I believe, in some ways, he’s been unsettled and sobered by what he’s seen.” The CIA director spoke of “where Putin’s hubris has now gotten Russia,” and said that in authoritarian systems, when “no person challenges” a frontrunner, “you possibly can make some huge blunders.”
Meanwhile, the query of military aid and the pace of the war can also be a source of uncertainty within the U.S. as Republican lawmakers criticized the administration for not sending F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine.
White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan said the U.S. was providing Ukraine with the military aid needed to retake territory seized by Russia. The domestic politics of support for Ukraine are also complicated by some GOP members of Congress who say the administration should pull back and focus more on the needs at home.
Rep. Michael McCaul, chairman of the House Foreign Relations Committee, said planes and long-range artillery could help end the war on a faster timeline. “This whole thing is taking too long,” McCaul said. “And it really didn’t need to occur this manner,” said McCaul, R-Texas.
Ukraine won support last month from Baltic nations and Poland in its quest to acquire Western fighter jets, but there have been no signs that nations equivalent to the U.S. and Britain will change their stance of refusing to offer warplanes to Kyiv.
Biden said in an ABC News interview on Friday that he’s “ruling it out for now,” saying that they will not be the weaponry that Ukrainians need within the near term.
But Sen. Dan Sullivan, R-Alaska, said the White House has been slow in providing what Ukraine seeks, including jets. “That has been a pattern with this administration from the start, where they’ve slow-rolled critical military weapons systems,” he said.
Jake Sullivan said the U.S. is already providing parts to maintain Ukraine’s fleet of Soviet-era jets flying, but supplying F-16s “is admittedly a matter for an additional day, for an additional phase” of the war.
Jake Sullivan appeared on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” CNN’s “State of the Union” and ABC’s “This Week.” McCaul was on ABC and Dan Sullivan was on NBC.
