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PGA predictions for TPC San Antonio

INBV News by INBV News
April 2, 2024
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PGA predictions for TPC San Antonio
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The tournament held immediately before The Masters used to get a fairly raw deal.

While some players prefer to play the week prior to their trip to Augusta, most took the week off so that they can be fresh for the most important event of the yr.

The PGA Tour has combated that problem by declaring this week’s Valero Texas Open a “signature event.”

That call has paid dividends, as loads of the Tour’s best players are headed to TPC San Antonio.

Rory McIlroy is the +800 favorite at DraftKings, but there’s loads of starpower at the highest of the board, considering Augusta is on the horizon.

Ludvig Aberg, Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama, Max Homa and Collin Morikawa have all made the trip to TPC San Antonio and are 22/1 and under.

There are many heavyweights on this field and that can make it tough for an extended shot to upset the chances, but this course is not any stranger to surprise winners (JJ Spaun was 150/1 when he lifted the trophy in 2022 and Corey Conners was a triple-digit price when he did so for the primary time back in 2019) and this season has been ruled by dark horses.

Ten of the 13 winners on the Tour this season have gone off at 50/1 or longer and eight of them were listed at 100/1 or higher.

Listed below are just a few darts value throwing within the Alamo City this week:

2024 Valero Open long-shot bets

Rickie Fowler (120/1, FanDuel)

Things have gone quiet for Fowler after a resurgent 2022-23 campaign.

The 31-year-old has yet to complete contained in the top 30 in any of his eight starts, and his last outing was an unremarkable T68 at The Players.

That said, Fowler just isn’t that far faraway from being one of the crucial in-form players on the Tour. Fowler racked up a win, a runner-up, eight top-10 finishes and missed just two cuts in the course of the 2022-23 season.

One among those top-10s got here at TPC San Antonio, a spot where he’s finished contained in the top-20 in three of 4 starts. If Fowler was in any kind of form, he’d be among the many favorites this weekend.

I’ll buy low on a player with a winning upside and a very good course history.


Matt Kuchar of the United States.
Matt Kuchar has 150/1 odds this week. Getty Images

Matt Kuchar (150/1, FanDuel)

It’s been some time since Kuchar won on the PGA Tour, but when he’s going to get back into the winner’s circle there’s a good probability it’ll come at TPC San Antonio, which is undoubtedly certainly one of his favorite tracks.

Kuchar finished runner-up and T3 at TPC San Antonio within the last two years and has 4 top-10 finishes at this course since 2013.

The 45-year-old has been in awful form in 2024, but those results are too good to disregard whenever you’re getting 150/1 odds. 

K.H. Lee (90/1, BetRivers)

There’s a community of punters who like to back Lee any time he plays a TPC course and for good reason.

The 32-year-old’s two wins on the PGA Tour each got here at TPC Craig Ranch (one other Texas track) and he also finished runner-up at TPC Scottsdale just a few years back.

Lee also has a top-10 finish at TPC Summerlin and TPC Twin Cities. 


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Nevertheless it’s not only Lee’s penchant for producing at TPC courses that makes him a worthy long shot this week.

He’s in good form with two top-10 finishes in his last 4 outings and has had a few strong showings at this event up to now. Lee, who resides in Texas, finished contained in the top-25 in two of his three starts at TPC San Antonio. 

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