Now that the NFL’s Thanksgiving slate is within the rearview mirror, it’s time to focus our attention on the Week 12 Sunday schedule.
It is sort of a bit smaller than usual, but that doesn’t mean we don’t have loads of options to pick from.
I even have scoured the PrizePicks lobby to give you my 4 favorite DFS picks for Sunday’s games.
Michael Pittman greater than 68.5 receiving yards
That is one in all my favorite games to focus on for passing and receiving yards because these two defenses really struggle to defend the pass.
Even higher, the Buccaneers have a real pass-funnel defense, rating twentieth in DVOA against the pass and third in DVOA against the run.
The Colts will attempt to run the ball, but likely with little success.
That’s where Pittman is available in; the Colts wide receiver has racked up at the very least 64 receiving yards in six of 10 games this season and is facing a secondary that has allowed the third-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season.
Travis Etienne greater than 87.5 rushing + receiving yards
This play is less in regards to the matchup than it’s about Etienne’s opportunity for volume..
Etienne’s touch count has dipped over the past two weeks, but that’s since the Jaguars faced two of the most effective defenses within the NFL (49ers and Titans). Prior to that, he had touch totals of 27, 17, 21 and 30 in consecutive games.
Expect him to see north of 20 touches this week against the Texans, who’ve been mediocre against running backs this season. I like his possibilities to go over 100 yards from scrimmage, so the projection of 87.5 rushing and receiving yards seems greater than doable.
Derrick Henry greater than 68.5 rushing yards
There are few things in life that I really like greater than targeting running backs against the Carolina Panthers, who’re last in DVOA against the run and rush EPA this season.
After ugly performances the last three weeks from Will Levis, the TItans will want to ascertain the run early and sometimes. This is usually the time of 12 months when Henry starts to hit his stride, and now he gets to face the worst run defense within the NFL.
His usage has largely relied on the rating of the sport, so it’s value noting that the Titans are four-point home favorites this week.
Betting on the NFL?
Russell Wilson fewer than 197.5 passing yards
I’m taking a rare under this week with Wilson’s low passing yards total.
The Broncos have been winning games recently, but they’ve had an unsustainable turnover advantage.
The offense hasn’t exactly been humming, as Wilson has thrown for fewer than 200 yards in five of the last six games.
This week, he squares off against the Browns, who’re first in each DVOA against the pass and rush EPA. Cleveland only allows 143.7 passing yards per game, which is a formidable feat.
Expect the Broncos to lean heavily on the run, especially since they’re 1.5-point home favorites.
Now that the NFL’s Thanksgiving slate is within the rearview mirror, it’s time to focus our attention on the Week 12 Sunday schedule.
It is sort of a bit smaller than usual, but that doesn’t mean we don’t have loads of options to pick from.
I even have scoured the PrizePicks lobby to give you my 4 favorite DFS picks for Sunday’s games.
Michael Pittman greater than 68.5 receiving yards
That is one in all my favorite games to focus on for passing and receiving yards because these two defenses really struggle to defend the pass.
Even higher, the Buccaneers have a real pass-funnel defense, rating twentieth in DVOA against the pass and third in DVOA against the run.
The Colts will attempt to run the ball, but likely with little success.
That’s where Pittman is available in; the Colts wide receiver has racked up at the very least 64 receiving yards in six of 10 games this season and is facing a secondary that has allowed the third-most receiving yards to wide receivers this season.
Travis Etienne greater than 87.5 rushing + receiving yards
This play is less in regards to the matchup than it’s about Etienne’s opportunity for volume..
Etienne’s touch count has dipped over the past two weeks, but that’s since the Jaguars faced two of the most effective defenses within the NFL (49ers and Titans). Prior to that, he had touch totals of 27, 17, 21 and 30 in consecutive games.
Expect him to see north of 20 touches this week against the Texans, who’ve been mediocre against running backs this season. I like his possibilities to go over 100 yards from scrimmage, so the projection of 87.5 rushing and receiving yards seems greater than doable.
Derrick Henry greater than 68.5 rushing yards
There are few things in life that I really like greater than targeting running backs against the Carolina Panthers, who’re last in DVOA against the run and rush EPA this season.
After ugly performances the last three weeks from Will Levis, the TItans will want to ascertain the run early and sometimes. This is usually the time of 12 months when Henry starts to hit his stride, and now he gets to face the worst run defense within the NFL.
His usage has largely relied on the rating of the sport, so it’s value noting that the Titans are four-point home favorites this week.
Betting on the NFL?
Russell Wilson fewer than 197.5 passing yards
I’m taking a rare under this week with Wilson’s low passing yards total.
The Broncos have been winning games recently, but they’ve had an unsustainable turnover advantage.
The offense hasn’t exactly been humming, as Wilson has thrown for fewer than 200 yards in five of the last six games.
This week, he squares off against the Browns, who’re first in each DVOA against the pass and rush EPA. Cleveland only allows 143.7 passing yards per game, which is a formidable feat.
Expect the Broncos to lean heavily on the run, especially since they’re 1.5-point home favorites.
