WASHINGTON – Iowa Republicans are turning away from former President Donald Trump in favor of rising star Ron DeSantis, in keeping with a latest survey.
A poll released Monday by Neighborhood Research and Media indicated that 32% of likely caucus-goers would make the 44-year-old Florida governor their first selection. One other 30% said their top pick can be the 76-year-old former president.
The result represents a 23-point swing within the poll from June, when Trump led DeSantis by 38% to 17% — and a 46-point swing from November of last yr, when the forty fifth president led 56% to 12%.
“With support barely half what it was a yr ago in a time when DeSantis’s vote has nearly tripled, Trump becomes a severe underdog within the race,” Rick Shaftan of Neighborhood Research and Media wrote in his evaluation.
One other 30% of respondents said they were undecided about who their first selection can be, while no other potential candidate topped double-digit support. Former Vice President Mike Pence can be the primary selection of three% of respondents, while former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds, South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, and former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson each got 1% support.
When second and third decisions were counted — a key dynamic in a caucus state like Iowa — DeSantis had 48% support, Trump had 42%, Pence had 6% and Noem had 3%.
The survey is the newest to indicate a growing distaste for the previous commander-in-chief, who announced his third consecutive White House run Nov. 15.
That very same day, a Morning Seek the advice of/Politico poll taken after the midterm elections showed that 65% of voters said Trump should “probably” or “definitely” not run – with 53% saying he “definitely” shouldn’t.
The Iowa survey also follows a recent YouGov national poll that showed voters favoring DeSantis by seven points over Trump. That poll, released Friday, was the primary survey of the 2024 cycle to indicate the Florida governor ahead of Trump amongst Republican voters nationwide.
The YouGov poll indicated 42% of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents preferred DeSantis over Trump to top the party’s presidential ticket, while 35% stayed true to Trump.
The Neighborhood Research and Media poll surveyed 393 likely Republican caucus-goers between Nov. 14 and Nov. 18. The poll has a margin of error of plus-or-minus five percentage points.
WASHINGTON – Iowa Republicans are turning away from former President Donald Trump in favor of rising star Ron DeSantis, in keeping with a latest survey.
A poll released Monday by Neighborhood Research and Media indicated that 32% of likely caucus-goers would make the 44-year-old Florida governor their first selection. One other 30% said their top pick can be the 76-year-old former president.
The result represents a 23-point swing within the poll from June, when Trump led DeSantis by 38% to 17% — and a 46-point swing from November of last yr, when the forty fifth president led 56% to 12%.
“With support barely half what it was a yr ago in a time when DeSantis’s vote has nearly tripled, Trump becomes a severe underdog within the race,” Rick Shaftan of Neighborhood Research and Media wrote in his evaluation.
One other 30% of respondents said they were undecided about who their first selection can be, while no other potential candidate topped double-digit support. Former Vice President Mike Pence can be the primary selection of three% of respondents, while former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds, South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, and former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson each got 1% support.
When second and third decisions were counted — a key dynamic in a caucus state like Iowa — DeSantis had 48% support, Trump had 42%, Pence had 6% and Noem had 3%.
The survey is the newest to indicate a growing distaste for the previous commander-in-chief, who announced his third consecutive White House run Nov. 15.
That very same day, a Morning Seek the advice of/Politico poll taken after the midterm elections showed that 65% of voters said Trump should “probably” or “definitely” not run – with 53% saying he “definitely” shouldn’t.
The Iowa survey also follows a recent YouGov national poll that showed voters favoring DeSantis by seven points over Trump. That poll, released Friday, was the primary survey of the 2024 cycle to indicate the Florida governor ahead of Trump amongst Republican voters nationwide.
The YouGov poll indicated 42% of Republicans and GOP-leaning independents preferred DeSantis over Trump to top the party’s presidential ticket, while 35% stayed true to Trump.
The Neighborhood Research and Media poll surveyed 393 likely Republican caucus-goers between Nov. 14 and Nov. 18. The poll has a margin of error of plus-or-minus five percentage points.
