From an amazing expectation at -1000 odds to a coin flip, Eagles defensive tackle Jalen Carter has lost his grasp on the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Yr Award.
A part of that’s on account of poor play by the Eagles within the second half, and the remaining is due to the emergence of Texans’ defensive end Will Anderson Jr.
Drafted No. 3 overall, Anderson has moved from +400 to +125 on FanDuel just this week as bets have flown in.
“The stream of cash that had been coming in on Carter has significantly slowed prior to now few weeks,” a FanDuel Sportsbook trader told The Post. “Earlier this week, we saw an influx of bets on Kobie Turner, and prior to now few days Will Anderson has been quite popular amongst bettors.”
This number and ensuing wagers that flooded the market is despite the undeniable fact that Anderson will play in only 15 games, while Carter will play in 16.
“At the top of the season, voters may begin to share who they’re picking for awards. This will cause line movement and the trading team might be monitoring news,” BetMGM Senior Manager of Trading Tristan Davis told The Post.
At first thought, there haven’t been any voters that gave out their vote on Anderson, nevertheless it’s interesting to know that traders are outwardly listening to every thing voters say.
Caesars Sportsbooks Assistant Director of Trading Adam Pullen added some more clarity on the award and the way necessary Week 18 is for the award.
“At once, Jalen Carter is a -120 favorite, with Will Anderson at +165 on this two-man race for DROY. Anderson has barely higher numbers, but has played fewer games than Carter. The Eagles’ defense has struggled in recent games, which could tilt things in Anderson’s direction.”
But even with that game missing, Anderson has substantially higher counting stats.
“It looks like this race will come all the way down to Week 18 and whoever plays higher in the ultimate week of the regular season. As all the time, people remember what they saw last. Anderson may have the primary crack at impressing voters in Saturday night’s primetime, win-or-go-home game against the Colts. As for Caesars Sportsbook, Jalen Carter winning the award is less of a liability than Anderson. Carter will look to assist the Eagles get back on target against the Giants on Sunday.”
Below is a full accounting of the Anderson vs. Carter debate coming into Week 18 with some credits on account of Pro Football Focus.
| Will Anderson Jr. | Jalen Carter | |
|---|---|---|
| Tackles | 44 | 30 |
| Sacks | 7 | 7 |
| Hurries | 36 | 33 |
| Hits | 14 | 4 |
| Total pressures | 57 | 44 |
The Eagles’ run defense has been roasted for the sixth-worst yards per carry allowed within the NFL, and prior to now 4 weeks Philadelphia has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game.
They’ve also lost 4 of their last five games.
Betting on the NFL?
Meanwhile, the highest five players in pass rush win rate, based on ESPNs Seth Walder are as follows.
- Micah Parsons
- Myles Garrett
- Will Anderson Jr.
- TJ Watt
- Jadeveon Clowney
It sure looks as if smart money is coming in on the Texans rookie, who has peaked at the correct time.
